In the short term the forecast has gone pretty well, but the tricky forecast for the weekend has changed dramatically. This morning a stalled-out front is turning into a warm front. It will lift to the north through the day.
We’ll heat up to levels about the same as yesterday. High temps will aim for the mid-upper 80s again.
Dew points are in the 60s. I would say that it will feel like Summer, but let’s face it… Summer is “unofficially” already here. Yep! We pretty much skipped Spring, and now we are going straight into Summer. We just finished out April, and the month ended up over 4 degrees above average.
We finished out pretty dry overall too. We had about a half inch deficit to end the month.
We’ll pick up some of that much-needed rainfall over the next few days, but not so much over the next 24 hours. This afternoon there will be some isolated showers and storms forming along the front. However, they will move north through the mid-late afternoon as the warm front lifts north.
So the higher rain chances today will be north of the metro.
Tomorrow we’ll have much of the same with a slight difference. We’ll be partly cloudy most of the day with some isolated showers and storms popping up in the afternoon. High temps will aim for the mid-upper 80s again.
However, tomorrow there will probably be a few more showers and storms as we go into the evening.
Winds will be out of the southwest through the day with a few gusts up to 20mph.
A few of those showers could linger into Saturday morning.
After that we’ll probably have a mix of sun and clouds with (now) only some spotty showers.
The forecast for Saturday has gotten drier as now it looks like the cold front will arrive much later towards Sunday. So high temps will likely be in the 80s again. The GFS and European models are starting to agree now. Therefore, they have little rain on Saturday, but they both have a lot of rain moving-in on Sunday.
They also have the cool down on Sunday with high temps falling to the 70s. They also now keep the rain going through early next week. We’ll see if the models hold this trend.
Meteorologist: Jeremy Wheeler
